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Urjit Patel Committee & Tools to measure inflation

Urjit Patel Committee

  • An expert committee appointed to examine the current monetary policy framework of the Reserve Bank of India
  • Headed by Urjit Patel, Deputy Governor of the Reserve Bank of India
  • Objective To strengthened Monetary Policy Framework of RBI

 

Recommendations – Urjit Patel Committee

  • Use CPI as a mean to measure inflation of the country not WPI – (Food + Fuel)
  • Target           4% CPI, +/-2% Band [control inflation in 2-6% range.]
  • Tool              Repo as policy rate, +/-1% spread in R-Repo & MSF,
  • Time limit    0/12/24 (months) = 10/8/6% (CPI)
  • Strategy      keep Repo rate higher than CPI
  • RBI to fix accountability in monetary policy making – Form a Monetary committee of 5 members
  • Governor
  • Governor
  • RBI’s Executive Director
  • Two outsiders/External members
  1. Noted Economists, finance experts etc., who’re not office bearers in RBI.
  2. Term: three years + Not eligible for re-appointment
  • MPC Must issue a public statement & every MPC member must sign it
  • This statement will contain :
  • Why did we fail? (Reasons)
  • How will we fix it (Future action proposed)
  • By when will we fix it? (Timeframe)
  • Government to help RBI to achieve set targets
  • Eliminate administered prices (MSP on food grains, LPG cylinders)
  • Eliminate administered wages (MNREGA)
  • Eliminate administered interest rates (interest subvention given to farmers)
  • Implement Vijay Kelkar Committee’s recommendations on fiscal consolidation.
  • Religiously follow the guidelines & targets of FRBM

Present Targets

2015 Jan CPI Target (8%)
2016 Jan CPI Target (6%)
2017 Jan CPI Target (4%)

 


Union Government and RBI signed an agreement on Monetary Policy Framework → Finance Minister to set inflation targets for RBI
 
  • will specify the inflation targets for RBI, contrary to the recommendation of Urjit Patel Committee
  • Until now, the RBI has the sole power to regulate the monetary policy & set inflation targets

 

Presently, Union Government and RBI give inflation estimates and do not set targets. But as per this agreement government has set a target for RBI to bring down inflation –

 

  • below 6 % by January 2016
  • 4 percent +/-2 percentage points for 2016-2017 & all subsequent years

 

This agreement mentions that if RBI fails to meet the target, it will –

 

  • Report to the government with the reasons for the failure to achieve the target
  • Propose remedial actions to be taken.
  • Further estimate the time period within which the failed target would be achieved.

 

As per the agreement, this Monetary Policy Framework will be monitored by the RBI and it is binding on Union Government to take proactive measures for price control.

 

Tools to measure inflation → WPI, CPI, GDP DEFLATOR

  • Before April 1, 2014 inflation was measured on WPI – (Food + Fuel)
  • From April 1, 2014 will be measured on CPI based on Urjit patel committee recommendations.

 

WPI – Wholesale price index

  • Also known as Headline inflation Calculated Weekly
  • Compiled by Office of Economic Adviser (Under Ministry of Commerce and Industry) on base year 2012
  • Measures inflation at wholesale level (Average of all goods bought by traders) consisting approx. 676 items
  • Does not cover services

 

CPI – Consumer price index

  • Used by RBI to formulate Monitory Policies Calculated Monthly
  • Compiled by CSO under statistics Ministry on Base year 2012
  • Measures inflation at final level or retail level (Average of all goods bought by consumers) consisting approx. 200 items.
  • Do cover services

 

CPI Before 2011 CPI After 2011
There were 4 subtypes of CPI

  • Agricultural Labour
  • Rural Labour
  • Industrial Worker
  • Urban Non Manual Employees
Now only 3 subtypes of CPI

  • Entire Urban population
  • Entire Rural population
  • Urban + Rural (Consolidated from above two)
  • First 3 subtypes of CPI were calculated by Labour Bureau Ministry of Labour & Employment
  • Last subtype was prepared by Central Statistical Organization (CSO) Ministry of Statistics & Programme implementation
  • All prepared by Central Statistical Organization (CSO) Ministry of Statistics & Programme implementation
Different base years for different subtypes

  • Agricultural Labour 1986
  • Rural Labour 1986
  • Industrial Worker 2001
  • Urban Non Manual Employees 1984

 

  • Common base year (2012) for all three subtypes

 

GDP Deflator

  • Compiled by CSO under statistics Ministry Calculated Quarterly
  • Formula GDP @current price/ GDP @constant price
  • RBI /Government does not use it much for policy making because GDP deflator data comes quarterly (not weekly/monthly basis)
India Yearbook English India Yearbook Hindi Economic Survey 2017

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